Is probability on the AQA, Edexcel and OCR A Level Maths exams?
Yes. Probability is part of the A Level Maths content that every board examines: AQA section M, Edexcel Statistics 3, OCR 2.03. It is assessed in AQA Paper 3, Section B; Edexcel Paper 3, Section A; OCR A Paper 2, statistics section.
Is probability Year 12 or Year 13 content?
Both. The AS content, usually taught in Year 12, is: Mutually exclusive and independent events; Venn diagrams, tree diagrams and two-way tables. The full A Level adds: Conditional probability, including set notation P(A | B); Modelling with probability and questioning the assumptions.
How do I show two events are independent?
Show that P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B), or that P(A | B) = P(A). Say which one you are testing and write a conclusion.