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Hypothesis testing: A Level Maths knowledge organiser

Everything to know about hypothesis testing on one page: key definitions, the formulas, a worked example, the mistakes to avoid and a checklist of what you should be able to do.

Download the A4 sheet (PDF)

Key definitions

Null hypothesis
H₀: the parameter has the value assumed so far, such as p = 0.3.
Alternative hypothesis
H₁: what you suspect instead, such as p > 0.3 (one-tailed) or p ≠ 0.3 (two-tailed).
Significance level
The probability threshold, such as 5%, below which you reject H₀.
Critical region
The values of the test statistic that would lead you to reject H₀.

Key formulas

Formulas marked with a label are given in the exam (we only say so where our formula sheet confirms it). Learn the rest.

Sample meanIn the formula booklet: Edexcel, AQA\(\bar X\sim N\!\left(\mu,\tfrac{\sigma^2}n\right),\) \(Z=\frac{\bar X-\mu}{\sigma/\sqrt n}\)
Tests: reject \(H_0\) if \(p\)-value \(<\alpha\); two-tailed: \(\alpha/2\) each tail; PMCC test \(H_0\!:\rho=0\)

Worked example

X ~ B(20, p). Test H₀: p = 0.3 against H₁: p > 0.3 at the 5% level, when 10 successes are observed.

  1. Under H₀, P(X ≥ 10) = 0.0480 (3 s.f.)
  2. 0.0480 < 0.05, so the result is significant

Answer: Reject H₀: there is evidence at the 5% level that p > 0.3

Common mistakes

  • Binomial probabilities: "at least" and "more than" read wrongly
  • Comparing P(X = x) with the significance level instead of a tail probability such as P(X ≥ x)
  • A conclusion with no context, or one that says H₀ is true

More on what examiners see students get wrong: Examiner Insights.

You should be able to…

  • Learn the language of hypothesis testing, including null and alternative hypotheses, the test statistic, the significance level and what it means to reject H₀.
  • Find critical values and critical regions for a binomial hypothesis test at a given significance level, and state the actual significance level of the test.
  • Carry out one-tailed and two-tailed binomial hypothesis tests, halving the significance level for each tail, and write a conclusion in the context of the problem.
  • Carry out hypothesis tests for zero correlation using the PMCC and critical values from the tables, writing conclusions in context.
  • Carry out hypothesis tests for the mean of a normal distribution using the distribution of the sample mean, and write conclusions in context.

The printable sheet

Hypothesis testing knowledge organiser for A Level Maths: one A4 page of key definitions, formulas, a worked example and common mistakes
Hypothesis testing knowledge organiser (A Level Maths), A4. Download the PDF.

Revise it next

Other A Level Maths topics: Proof · Algebra and functions · Coordinate geometry · Sequences and series · Trigonometry · Exponentials and logarithms · Differentiation · Integration · Numerical methods · Vectors · Sampling and data · Probability · Binomial and normal distributions · Kinematics · Forces and Newton's laws · Moments · All A Level Maths organisers