Models of tumour growth: a maths EPQ idea
A title to start from
Which growth model best describes tumour growth: exponential, logistic or Gompertz?
Why it works as an EPQ
Three models, one published data set, and a fair method of choosing between them.
Scope and difficulty
Ambitious. Ambitious. Published data only; no medical claims.
The maths
Builds on these A Level topics: Exponentials and logarithms · Differentiation · Numerical methods.
You would learn:
- The Gompertz model
- Least squares fitting
- Comparing models fairly
One possible plan
- Derive each model from its assumptions.
- Fit each to published data.
- Compare them with a fair criterion and on held-back data.
- Judge which is best and for what purpose.
Pitfalls
- Choosing the model with most parameters because it fits best.
- Medical claims.
Where to start reading
- Search for: Gompertz tumour growth model
- Search for: comparing models held out data overfitting
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