Estimation station and class survey for A Level Maths
A first lesson that sets the tone: estimate first, then measure, and treat being wrong as part of maths. Then collect some anonymous class data and analyse it with the product-moment correlation coefficient, a regression line and a hypothesis test.
- Level
- A Level Maths (Year 12 and Year 13)
- Time
- 40 minutes, plus a 10-minute extension
- Topics
- Statistical sampling and data: measures of location and spread; Correlation and regression; Hypothesis testing for correlation
- Equipment
- The starter is non-calculator. A calculator with statistics functions is needed.
Suggested timings
| Part | Time | What |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | 5 min | Quick questions on the board |
| Main: task A | 10 min | Estimation station |
| Main: task B | 15 min | Class survey: correlation and regression |
| Main: task C | 10 min | Travel times |
| Extension | 10 min | Fast finishers or homework |
Starter (5 minutes)
Estimate, don’t calculate: round first.
- Estimate 3.982 × 25.1 by rounding each number to the nearest whole number.
- A student estimates that a corridor is 30 m long. It is really 24 m. Find the percentage error.
- Twelve estimates have Σx = 96. Find their mean.
Main activity (35 minutes)
Task A: Estimation station (10 min)
At each station, write your estimate first, then measure. These are one group’s results.
- Five estimates of the number of counters in a jar were 150, 210, 180, 260 and 200. Find the mean and the standard deviation (dividing by n).
- A corridor is 24 m long to the nearest metre and 2.5 m wide to the nearest 0.1 m. Find the upper bound of its floor area.
Task B: Class survey: correlation and regression (15 min)
Made-up data from eight students:
| Height, h cm | 150 | 155 | 160 | 165 | 170 | 175 | 180 | 185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hand span, s cm | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
- Find the product-moment correlation coefficient, r.
- Find the equation of the regression line of s on h, and use it to estimate the hand span of a student 168 cm tall.
- Test, at the 5% level, whether there is positive correlation between height and hand span. The critical value for a sample of 8 (one-tailed, 5%) is 0.6215.
Task C: Travel times (10 min)
Made-up data: a class of 25 recorded how long their journey to school takes.
| Time, t minutes | Frequency |
|---|---|
| 0 < t ≤ 10 | 6 |
| 10 < t ≤ 20 | 9 |
| 20 < t ≤ 30 | 7 |
| 30 < t ≤ 40 | 3 |
- Estimate the mean and the standard deviation.
- Use linear interpolation to estimate the median.
Extension (10 minutes)
For fast finishers.
- Every hand span in task B was measured 0.5 cm too short. Write down the corrected r and the corrected regression line.
For teachers
Teacher notes and full worked answers
- Estimation station: set up four or five stations (a desk to measure, a jar of counters, a corridor, a book’s thickness, a minute with eyes closed). Students write an estimate first, then measure. Being wrong is the point: celebrate the closest estimate and the best reasoning, not just the right answer, and agree a class norm that a reasoned wrong answer is a good start.
- Class survey: the data in the tasks are made up, so the answers can be checked. Then collect your own class’s anonymous data on the board (a show of hands for travel-time groups, hand spans written on sticky notes with no names) and repeat the calculations. Nothing is stored on the site.
- Task B, question 3 is Year 13 content; with a Year 12 class, stop after the regression line and come back to it later.
Starter
- About 400
- 42 × 25 = 400
- 25%
- 6/24 × 100 = 25%
- 8
- 96 ÷ 12 = 8
Task A: Estimation station
- Mean 200; standard deviation 36.3
- Σx = 1000, Σx2 = 206 600
- σ = √(206 600 ÷ 5 − 2002) = √1320 = 36.3
- 62.475 m2
- 24.5 × 2.55 = 62.475
Task B: Class survey: correlation and regression
- r = 0.977
- From the calculator: r = 0.97725…
- s = 0.181h − 10.3; 20.1 cm
- s = 0.180952…h − 10.3095…
- At h = 168: 20.09…
- Reject H0: there is evidence of positive correlation
- H0: ρ = 0, H1: ρ > 0
- 0.977 > 0.6215, so reject H0: there is evidence that taller students have wider hand spans.
Task C: Travel times
- Mean 17.8 minutes; standard deviation 9.6 minutes
- Midpoints 5, 15, 25, 35
- Mean = 445 ÷ 25 = 17.8
- σ = √(409 − 17.82) = √92.16 = 9.6
- 17.2 minutes
- The median is the 12.5th value, in 10 < t ≤ 20.
- 10 + (12.5 − 6)/9 × 10 = 17.2
Extension
- r = 0.977 (unchanged); s = 0.181h − 9.81
- Adding a constant to every s does not change r (coding).
- The intercept goes up by 0.5: −10.3095… + 0.5 = −9.81
The same answers are in the answers PDF. Every answer was recomputed by computer before publishing.
Practise the topics
Prior-knowledge relay and maths bingo maths · Christmas escape room maths · Numbers round and word scramble maths · All themed maths
More for lessons: Weekly starters · Skill Builders · Worksheet builder · Competition maths